There's still a little hope for Wamp: If you believe this poll, 36 percent are undecided. But he likely won't have enough cash to capitalize in the final weeks of the campaign. It would take a TV ad assault. We doubt the undecided vote remains that high anyway. Channel 4 says they phoned registered voters, but we don't know whether the respondents were screened to winnow out people who aren't likely to go to the polls. A careful screening, which probably didn't happen here because it cost more, might have produced a lower undecided number.
The Channel 4 survey more or less confirms an internal Haslam poll that was leaked to the media a month ago, and Haslam's campaign is touting this news tonight in a press release:
“Tennesseans want a serious discussion about the challenges and opportunities facing the state,” said Mark Cate, Campaign Manager. “Bill Haslam is having that discussion with them, and they like what they’re hearing because he is an experienced leader with the right temperament and proven record of job creation, strengthening education and conservatively managing a budget."
That's ridiculous, of course. Haslam has built his lead by airing millions of dollars worth of fluffy TV ads. He dodges serious discussion of the issues. That's his strategy, and it's working because his underfunded opponents have failed to challenge Haslam in their own ads.
All the Republican candidates are kicking the crap out of Mike McWherter in the poll, but that's essentially meaningless because McWherter hasn't paid for the first TV ad yet.