Tuesday, October 6, 2009

House District 62 Special Election Tests Forrester's Organizing Skills

Posted by Jeff Woods on Tue, Oct 6, 2009 at 12:29 PM

click to enlarge oie_chipforrester7_282_29.jpg
The entire Tennessee political world is riveted by a special state House election in which all of maybe 5,000 people will vote. It's the race in House District 62 down around Shelbyville with Democrat Ty Cobb tackling Republican Pat Marsh. They're both conservative (the Democrat even won the Right to Life endorsement) so it's hard to see why ordinary people should care much who wins. But so what? To the state's politicos, the fate of the known universe rides on the outcome. Election Day is Oct. 13.

Tom Humphrey, who lives in the district in Bell Buckle, analyzes the contest here and discusses its importance. The district tilts Democratic, so if Republicans win, it'll demonstrate just how much the electorate really despises Barack Obama, and that will portend terribly bad things for the party of Andy Jackson in 2010. If Democrats don't hold this seat, it'll be easier for Republicans to cling to power in next year's elections and then redraw legislative district lines to screw Democrats, etc., etc.

To the list of what it might mean if Democrats lose this little election, Pith would like to add one possibility: Chip Forrester and his band of head-in-the-clouds activists finally might demonstrate that they truly are as useless as their grizzled critics always have claimed.

Forrester's supporters say his strong point is organizing the grassroots and getting out the vote, among other important tasks. Well, that's what this is all about. Because turnout is so light in a special election, the ground game is all important. Forrester himself acknowledges this election is a test of his skills.

"This is the first chance to really put the ground operation that we've been building in the field and see how it works," he tells Pith. If Democrats lose, the question then becomes: What's the point of Forrester?

Here's more from Forrester on the District 62 race:

"It's a very conservative Democratic district. It has shifted over the years to be slightly more Republican and more conservative than years ago. Special elections just in their own right, they're just very squirrelly. They don't operate with the same metric that a standard general election campaign operates. It's very, very low on people's radar screen. It's about identifying your base and getting those voters to the polls.

"It would be stretching it to say this is a must-win. It's not the end of the Democratic Party. We have 99 seats up next year and we'll be competitive in a number of those to try to take back the House. But I also don't want to underplay the importance of it, and we've initiated a very, very intense ground game. Our entire staff here is spending the bulk of their time on the ground in House District 62.

"I ran for chair with the notion that we were going to build the party from the grassroots up. We do the blocking and the tackling. We're the line and the quarterback and the other guys, they do the fancy footwork. They're our state reps. Our job is to give them protection so the quarterback can drop back, do the fancy footwork and execute the pass. Our work is not sexy. It's just hard work. It's not glamorous."

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You know, it would be useful to have a poll to look at in regards to this race. With as much ink as this campaign has garnered, you would think that someone would have conducted a poll. Any have any links?
http://tomoveanation.com

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Posted by Interested Citizen on 10/06/2009 at 1:21 PM

I haven't heard whether Jeff Woods has traveled to the 62nd district to visit the headquarters of either candidate. It might help add some needed credibility to the blame he's already written up about a Democratic loss to actually share a room with those he might equally blame for a victory.

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Posted by Christian on 10/06/2009 at 1:54 PM

Woods is the mouthpiece of establishment Dems. I am with you on this one. I think the Forrester wing of the party is too idealistic, and it will be interesting to see if Cobb can pull off the victory.
But I am tired of reading Woods's nonsensical defenses of Jim Cooper. Simply saying 'he is popular,' without providing evidence is tiresome. Your attacks on Forrester make sense, but your defense of Jim Cooper does not. Cooper needs to go.

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Posted by Nashville Dem on 10/06/2009 at 9:07 PM

So, we're supposed to rate the effectiveness of liberal activists based on their ability to elect a pro-life conservative Democrat who's positions are barely discernible from those of his Republican opponent? That'll get them fired up!
If your point is one of management and discipline, what about the 2008 election where the good 'ole boys led us to the worst defeat in a hundred years? The establishment lost that election even with the support of activists who made tens of thousands of calls to support conservative Democrats like Randy Camp, who got destroyed at the polls.

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Posted by Gawksquawk on 10/07/2009 at 5:41 PM

Good point, Gawksquawk. But nobody forced Democrats to nominate Ty Cobb. That's part of their problem, isn't it? They keep running like Republicans. Who cares who wins?

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Posted by Woods on 10/07/2009 at 6:42 PM
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